***NEW***                               Surf Weather Outlook

Updated at 00:00EDT


None
0% chance of TS conditions


None
0% chance of TS conditions






Invest 93L was centered at 20.7N/88.0W at 12z, over the northeast Yucatan Peninsula. Convection has waned over the last 24 hours, and the disturbance is very disorganized at the moment. Development of 93L is unlikely for the next 24 hours while it interacts with land. Once it moves into the Gulf of Mexico, it still has a decent opportunity for development however model guidance has backed off any notable intensification. Invest 93L is currently moving northwest, south of a mid level ridge. Models break down the ridging by hour 36. This will weaken the steering currents over 93L while it is in the central Gulf of Mexico. There is still disagreement on where it goes from there. Especially with the trend towards a more shallow disturbance, some models continue to take it slowly northwest toward Texas / Louisana, while others have it being picked up by the upper low sagging southward over the eastern US, whisking it toward Florida by the end of next week. Regardless, at this time it does not look like 93L will be making a notable impact aside from a period of showers and thunderstorms.

Elsewhere in the Atlantic, a large upper level low continues to produce strong shear over the central basin. The southern and eastern Caribbean remain dry and devoid of convection. Clusters of weak thunderstorms are present along the ITCZ between 55W and 60W and 30W and 35W. A wave exitting the African Coast is generating moderate convection between 15W and 20W.