Dvorak numbers started on the invest this morning. Here are the three reports on the storm so far:

   DATE/TIME     LAT     LON    CLASSIFICATION        STORM 
  07/1745 UTC    31.6N   73.9W   ST2.5/2.5              90L
  07/1145 UTC    32.0N   73.1W   ST2.5/2.5              90L
  07/0545 UTC    33.3N   72.5W   ST2.5/2.5              90L

Latest Infrared Satellite:

Latest Visible Satellite:

Latest Water Vapor:

Another satellite shot:

Northwest Atlantic (Note the large circulation):


OSEI Image of the Day:
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/OSEIiod.html


Here is the latest text for the Hurricane Force Wind Warning for Cape Fear to 31N, Hatteras Canyon to Cape Fear, and Baltimore Canyon to Hatteras Canyon.

Hurricane Force Wind Warning for the United States

ANZ085-072030-
BALTIMORE CANYON TO HATTERAS CANYON OUT TO 36N 70W TO 34N 71W
1030 AM EDT MON MAY 7 2007

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...

...N WALL OF GULF STREAM NEAR 35N 75.3W...36.2N 74.4W...36.8N
72.6W...37.3N 72W...

.THIS AFTERNOON...NE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT...EXCEPT 35 TO 50 KT FROM
THE GULF STREAM SE...AND 50 TO 65 KT OVER FAR SE PORTION EARLY.
SEAS 12 TO 22 FT...EXCEPT 22 TO 35 FT FROM THE GULF STREAM
SE...HIGHEST SE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S.
.TONIGHT...E TO NE WINDS DIMINISHING TO 25 TO 35 KT...EXCEPT TO
40 KT NEAR THE GULF STREAM...AND TO 15 TO 25 KT N OF 37N LATE.
SEAS SUBSIDING TO 15 TO 20 FT...EXCEPT TO 25 FT IN THE GULF
STREAM...AND 10 TO 15 FT N OF 37N. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S.
.TUE...E TO NE WINDS DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 25 KT LATE...EXCEPT 10
TO 15 KT FAR NW PORTION. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 10 TO 16 FT...HIGHEST
SW. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S.
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 20 KT...HIGHEST SW.
SEAS SUBSIDING TO 8 TO 13 FT WITH SE SWELL...HIGHEST SW.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS.
.WED...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 9 FT
WITH SE SWELL...HIGHEST SW.
.THU...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT.
.FRI...SE TO S WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
$$

--------------------------------------------------------

ANZ086-072030-
HATTERAS CANYON TO CAPE FEAR OUT TO 34N 71W TO 32N 73W
1030 AM EDT MON MAY 7 2007

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...

...N WALL OF GULF STREAM NEAR 33.3N 76.7W...33.7N 76.6W...35N
75.3W...

.THIS AFTERNOON...N TO NE WINDS 40 TO 55 KT...EXCEPT 55 TO 70 KT
FROM THE GULF STREAM E EARLY...DIMINISHING TO 35 TO 45 KT
LATE...EXCEPT 45 TO 60 KT NEAR THE GULF STREAM. SEAS 14 TO 24
FT...EXCEPT 24 TO 38 FT FROM THE GULF STREAM E. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCASIONALLY REDUCING VSBY BELOW 1 NM.
.TONIGHT...E TO NE WINDS DIMINISHING TO 25 TO 35 KT
LATE...EXCEPT TO 35 TO 45 KT FROM THE GULF STREAM W. SEAS
BECOMING 18 TO 28 FT... HIGHEST NEAR THE GULF STREAM. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS.
.TUE...WINDS BECOMING E TO NE 25 TO 35 KT THROUGHOUT...HIGHEST
SW. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 13 TO 18 FT...HIGHEST SW NEAR THE GULF
STREAM. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS.
.TUE NIGHT...E TO NE WINDS DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 KT...HIGHEST
SW. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 10 TO 16 FT...HIGHEST SW NEAR THE GULF
STREAM. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS.
.WED...WINDS DIMINISHING TO E TO SE 15 TO 20 KT THROUGHOUT. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 7 TO 10 FT...HIGHEST W.
.THU...E TO SE WINDS DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING
TO 4 TO 6 FT LATE.
.FRI...SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 4 FT.
$$

--------------------------------------------------------

ANZ088-072030-
CAPE FEAR TO 31N OUT TO 32N 73W TO 31N 74W
1030 AM EDT MON MAY 7 2007

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...

...N WALL OF GULF STREAM NEAR 31N 79.8W...31.8N 78.9W...32.1N
79W...31.9N 77.8W...32.1N 77.2W...33.3N 76.7W...

.THIS AFTERNOON...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 45 KT...EXCEPT 45 TO 70 KT
FROM THE GULF STREAM E EARLY...BECOMING 35 TO 50 KT...EXCEPT 50
TO 65 KT NEAR THE GULF STREAM LATE. SEAS 18 TO 30 FT...EXCEPT
BUILDING TO 30 TO 36 FT IN THE GULF STREAM...AND 13 TO 18 FT FAR
SW PORTION. SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCASIONALLY REDUCING VSBY BELOW 1
NM.
.TONIGHT...WINDS BECOMING N TO NE 35 TO 45 KT...EXCEPT TO 55 KT
IN THE GULF STREAM...AND E TO SE 25 TO 35 KT E OF 76W LATE. SEAS
BECOMING 15 TO 22 FT...EXCEPT TO 30 FT IN THE GULF STREAM.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS.
.TUE...W OF 1000 FM...N TO NE WINDS DIMINISHING TO 30 TO 40 KT.
E OF 1000 FM...E TO SE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 13
TO 18 FT THROUGHOUT...EXCEPT TO 21 FT IN THE GULF STREAM.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS THROUGHOUT.
.TUE NIGHT...W OF 1000 FM...N TO NE WINDS DIMINISHING TO 25 TO
35 KT. E OF 1000 FM...E TO SE WINDS DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS SUBSIDING TO 12 TO 18 FT THROUGHOUT...HIGHEST FROM THE GULF
STREAM W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS THROUGHOUT.
.WED...WINDS BECOMING E TO SE 15 TO 25 KT THROUGHOUT...HIGHEST
SW. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 7 TO 10 FT...HIGHEST W.
.THU...E TO SE WINDS DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING
TO 4 TO 6 FT LATE.
.FRI...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
$$

.FORECASTER BANCROFT. OCEAN FORECAST BRANCH.

NHC Tropical Weather Discussion:

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT MON MAY 07 2007

WESTERN ATLANTIC...
ATTENTION REMAINS FOCUSED ON A RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING LOW PRES 
CENTER OFF THE SE OF UNITED STATES. A 998 MB LOW IS ANALYZED ON 
THE 12Z MAP NEAR 32N73W. THIS STRONG LOW WILL MOVE INTO OUR 
FORECAST AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THE BACK DOOR COLD FRONT 
ASSOCIATED WITH IT ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 31N38W THEN CONTINUES SW 
CROSSING THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA INTO THE 
GULF OF MEXICO. LATEST VIS SAT IMAGERY SHOWS THE LEADING EDGE OF 
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER W-CENTRAL CUBA. CURRENTLY...THE MAIN 
IMPACT WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM IS THE STRONG WINDS AND LARGE SEAS 
AS A VERY TIGHT PRES GRADIENT HAS SET UP BETWEEN THE LOW AND 
STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES. SEVERAL ADVISORIES
AND WATCHES/WARNINGS HAVE BEEN POSTED ALONG THE COAST FROM SOUTH 
FLORIDA TO BEYOND THE CAROLINAS WHERE ROUGH SURF AND VERY 
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. AS THE LOW APPROACHES THE 
SE COAST OF U.S. TUE THROUGH WED...RAINFALL WILL BE ALSO A 
CONCERN. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL FORECAST 
OFFICES.

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So as for the future of this storm, it is successfully mixing out dry air, and is forming convection on the east side which it did not have before. The storm however is essentially located in a desert, as you can see by looking at the water vapor imagery. Subtropical characteristics are clear, and I would not be suprised to see this named before the end. (The first name of the 2007 season is Andrea)